Spread: France (-1.5) is a general prediction market currently trading at YES 41¢ and NO 59¢ on Polymarket. It resolves on June 16, 2026.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Senegal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
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What does 41¢ mean?
A price of 41¢ means the market collectively assigns a 41% probability that this event will happen. Every share pays out $1 if correct, $0 if wrong.
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In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Senegal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.