Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? is a general prediction market currently trading at YES 4¢ and NO 96¢ on Polymarket. It resolves on October 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
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What does 4¢ mean?
A price of 4¢ means the market collectively assigns a 4% probability that this event will happen. Every share pays out $1 if correct, $0 if wrong.
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).