Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million? is a general prediction market currently trading at YES 100¢ and NO 0¢ on Polymarket. It resolves on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
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What does 100¢ mean?
A price of 100¢ means the market collectively assigns a 100% probability that this event will happen. Every share pays out $1 if correct, $0 if wrong.
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This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.